Wind AlliesTier 1
at Aria's Cardshop Regionals
decks
3
(9.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
8-8-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.2%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
51.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1319
· median 1382
· range 1136–1439
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1055
Q1 1231
Q3 1424
1584
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 15.6% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 70.8% | +13.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -0.9 |
| Slimes | 9.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.7% | -3.7 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 9.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.7% | +16.0 |
| Fire Exia | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -2.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.7% | -17.6 |
| Water Neos | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.8 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
